December 2019 General Election

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December 2019 General Election
Cosa.png
April 2019 General Election 15 Nov 2019 - 1 Dec 2019

All 200 seats in the Cosa
101 seats needed for a majority
Eligible voters 162
Turnout 90 - 55.5% (Decrease 4.62%)
FreeDemsLogo2018.jpeg Amp cropped.png Pnp.png
Leader Miestrâ Schivâ Ian Plätschisch Eovart Grischun
Party FreeDem AMP PNP
Leader since 29 Jan 2019 22 Feb 2019 8 Nov 2019
Leader's seat MC (FreeDem) Senator (MM) no seat
(running for Cosa)
Last election 89 40 new party
Seats won 84 46 25
Seat change Decrease 5 Increase 6 new party
Popular vote 33 18 10
Percentage 41.77% 22.79% 12.66%
Swing Decrease 2.44% Increase 2.79% new party
Bleedingtower.png Npw.png
Leader Ieremiac'h Ventrutx Eiric Börnatfiglheu Mximo Carbonel
Party ZPT NPW MTGA
Leader's seat Senator (FL)
(lost reelection)
no seat
(running for Cosa)
no seat
(running for Cosa)
Last election new party new party new party
Seats won 25 15 5
Seat change new party new party new party
Popular vote 10 6 2
Percentage 12.66% 7.59% 2.53%
Swing new party new party new party

53cosa.png
Outgoing Cosa

Outgoing Seneschal Presumptive Seneschal
Miestrâ Schivâ
FreeDems
Miestrâ Schivâ
FreeDems

The upcoming General Election will be held from November 15th to December 1st 2019/XL. All of the Cosa will be up for reelection, plus regularly scheduled Senate elections in Florencia, Maricopa and Fiova, and a special election in Cézembre.

The lone amendment that is expected to be voted on is the Still Into This Amendment, which implements the so-called 2017 Organic Law proposal.

Registered parties

Six national political parties - the most since the elections to the 49th Cosa, and one short of the modern record - have registered for the election:

Party Leader/Candidate Beliefs
  Awakening and Magnifying Passion (AMP) Ian Plätschisch Pragmatism, moderate monarchism, reformism
  Free Democrats of Talossa (FreeDem) Miestrâ Schivâ Progressivism, liberalism, republicanism
  Make Talossa Great Again (MTGA) Mximo Carbonel Republicanism, reformism
  New Peculiar Way (NPW) Eiric Börnatfiglheu Peculiarism, republicanism
  Peculiar Nationalist Party (PNP) Eovart Grischun Peculiarism, civic nationalism, moderate monarchism
  Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (ZPT) Ieremiac'h Ventrutx Monarchism, conservativism, traditionalism

Three parties are slated to return after a hiatus: the ZPT, a party that was most known in its 1998-2005 iteration, but will be revived for a second time by Ieremiac'h Ventrutx; MTGA, whose only member Mximo Carbonel had sat out the 53rd Cosa; and the New Peculiar Way, which held seats in 2013 but has largely been dormant since, only sporadically holding seats in Benito. One completely new party is expected to take part in the elections: the PNP, led by Eðo Grischun. Grischun served as the leader of the RUMP, most recently on an interim basis, but resigned from the party in the summer.

The RUMP did not register for the election for the first time since 2005. The party had contested 19 elections in a row, existing for virtually the entire post-Ben era. The party had been in decline for some time, and in the waning days of the 53rd Cosa it only had two MCs and a Senator, with two leaders (Grischun and Alexandreu Davinescu) leaving politics in the span of a month during the summer. Moderate Radicals Arise will also not run again; therefore, the two longest tenured MCs (Eovart Xhorxh and Erschéveþ da Schir) will both leave the Cosa.

The Free Democrats need a swing of 12 seats to win a majority; no party has managed to win one since 2013. AMP needs to gain 61 seats; no such swing has ever been achieved under EM200, the biggest positive swing being the RUMP's +43 in the 36th Cosa.

Timeline

Results

Preliminary results posted on the voting deadline day showed the Free Democrats retaining a plurality while

Senatorial races

Half of the Senate will be up for reelection: three regularly scheduled races for full terms in Florencia, Fiôvâ and Maricopa, and a special election in Cézembre, where freshman Senator Thor Deyaert lost his seat by failing to vote.

Had the merger between Fiovâ and Florencia been successful, Iarneria (the name of the merged province) would have been expected to elect its first Senator, while the election for the seat of Maritiimi-Maxhestic would have also been up for election, to respect the Organic provision that three seats should be up for a full term at each General Election.

Cézembre (special)

Cézembre will elect a senator for the sixth time in the last seven general elections. Of the five Senators that held the seat since mid-2015, only Ian Anglatzara served more than six Clarks, and none actually served for a whole term:

  • Txosuè Rôibeardescù, elected in 2015 upon Glüc da Dhi's retirement, lost his seat in the coattails of a corruption scandal;
  • Anglatzara only served the two-Cosa remainder of his term;
  • the following two-Cosa term was split between a returned da Dhi, who resigned his seat to accept an appointment as Secretary of State, and Alexandreu Soleiglhfred, who declined to seek reelection in the wake of the collapse of the MRPT;
  • and Thor Deyaert lost his seat by failing to vote.

The last senator to complete a term was Glüc da Dhi, who served two whole terms and one extra Cosa between 2011 and 2015.

The seat is one of two expected to be competitive, should multiple candidates from different parties be on the ballot. The only candidate so far is Interior Minister Alexandreu Regeu of the Free Democrats, who would however be ineligible to vote before March 29th 2020 due to being a citizen for less than a year.

Cézembre Senate Special Election
Preliminary results pending certification
Alexandreu Regeu 6 7
Litz Cjantscheir (write-in) 2 2
Ián da Bitoûr (write-in) 2 2
Martì Vataldestreça (write-in) 1 1/0*
Txosuè Rôibeardescù (write-in) 1 0/1*
FreeDem GAIN from IND

*: Regeu wins in the second round irrespective of which candidate between Vataldestreça or Rôibeardescù is eliminated.

Preliminary results indicate Regeu has been elected at the second round of IRV elimination, with 50% of first preferences.

Florencia

Ieremiac'h Ventrutx, the incumbent, was elected in a special election to complete the remainder of Ma la Mha's term. He will run for reelection; in his special election campaign, he was elected as a write-in candidate (no other name actually appeared on the ballot, in a first for Talossa since Reunision). Ventrutx is also running with his own party, the ZPT, which he brought back after a hiatus of ten years.

AMP has announced that Breneir Itravilatx, a former Foreign Minister and Senator for Maritiimi-Maxhestic between 2010 and 2011, would contest the seat. The Free Democrats will instead support Spencer Kerfoot for the seat, while also endorsing Itravilatx as a second IRV preference. Kerfoot notably led the Free Democrats's efforts in the Nimlet concerning the Fiova-Florencia merger in the summer of 2019.

MTGA leader Mximo Carbonel will also contest the seat. He had previously ran in two elections and received write-in votes in two others. Carbonel had expressed his desire to move to his geographically correct province (Atatürk) during the previous term; changing provinces would cast his eligibility to hold the seat into doubt, although the Organic Law only forbids people to be elected or appointed to the seat of a different province.

Should the seat be won by either Carbonel or Ventrutx, both leaders of a one-man party, they would have to forfeit their party's seats in the Cosa, as they are the only candidate on the party list. In the case of Ventrutx, who is both the favourite to retain the Senate seat and likely to win a substantial number of Cosa seats due to the RUMP deregistering, this would potentially have the effect of lowering the threshold for an outright majority in the Cosa, should the ZPT leave their seats vacant.

Florencia Senate Election
Preliminary results pending certification
Spencer Kerfoot 1 (2) 2 2
Mximo Carbonel 1 (1) 1 1 (1)
Ieremiac'h Ventrutx 1 (0)(1) 1 (0) -
Breneir Itravilatx 1 (0)(0) - -
FreeDem GAIN from RUMP

Preliminary results show Spencer Kerfoot winning the race after a four-way tie in first preference votes. If confirmed, this would be the first time the Florencian Senate seat is won by a non-monarchist since the very first incumbent, Danihel Laurieir, in 1997.

Fiova

The incumbent is Gödafrïeu Válcadác'h, currently the third longest tenured Senator, who had served as Lord President (Mençei) of the Senate in 2018 and is well known as the long-time Royal Archivist of Talossa. He has announced his intention to run for reelection.

No challenger has declared their intention to run. The last contested election in Fiôvâ was in December 2013, when the NPW's Dieter Vercáriâ took on the ZRT's Miestrâ Schivâ.

Fiôvâ Senate Election
Preliminary results pending certification
Gödafrïeu Válcadác'h 9
Miestrâ Schivâ (write-in) 1
Carlüs Xheraltescù (write-in) 1
Tamoran Montagnhard d'Açeradeireu (write-in) 1
FreeDem HOLD

Preliminary results show Válcadác'h handily winning reelection with an overall majority of 75% of first preferences, a decrease of 10%.

Maricopa

The incumbent is Sir Cresti Siervicül, the lone senator to be affiliated with the RUMP. Siervicül has completed his first term in the Senate, which he joined in late 2017, initially as an appointee and then winning a special election to complete the rest of the term.

The seat is one of two expected to be competitive, should multiple candidates from different parties be on the ballot. Maricopa was the first province where IRV was applied to a Senate race.

The Free Democrats have announced that Foreign Minister Txoteu Davinescu, formerly of AMP, will contest the seat for a second time; he was the MRPT's candidate in 2017, where he received the second-most first votes (29%), but lost out in the final IRV round to Beneditsch Ardpresteir. Ardpresteir himself later announced he would run for the seat, setting up a rematch with Davinescu.

Maricopa Senate Election
Preliminary results pending certification
Beneditsch Ardpresteir 6 7
Txoteu Davinescu 3 3
Cresti Siervicül (write-in) 1 (0)(1) 1
Munditenens Tresplet (write-in) 1 (0)(0)(0)(1) 1
Alejo Fernández (write-in) 1 (0)(0)(0)(0) -
RUMP HOLD

Preliminary results show Ardpresteir winning at the second elimination round, with 50% of first preference votes, a 7% decrease for the RUMP from the latest contested election. FreeDem challenger Txoteu Davinescu only mustered 25% of the first preference vote, a 3% decrease compared to his previous attempt at the seat.

This was the second attempt at a Senate majority for a party that failed in Maricopa, with the FreeDems stopping short of a clean sweep of Senate races, although they will still be the plurality party in the Senate for the first time in their history. Additionally, depending on Ardpresteir's affiliation, this might mean that the RUMP will continue being represented in the Ziu despite not being a registered party anymore.