December 2019 General Election: Difference between revisions

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| swing3            =  
| swing3            =  


| colour4            = Turquoise
| colour4            = MediumVioletRed
| leader4            = [[Ieremiac'h Ventrutx]]
| leader4            = [[Eiric Börnatfiglheu]]
| party4            = [[Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (Ventrutx)|ZPT]]
| party4            = [[NPW]]
| leader_seat4      = Senator (FL)
| leader_seat4      = ''no seat''
| last_election4    = ''new party''
| last_election4    = ''new party''
| seats4            =  
| seats4            =  
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| swing4            =  


| colour5            = Firebrick
| colour5            = Turquoise
| leader5            = [[Mximo Carbonel]]
| leader5            = [[Ieremiac'h Ventrutx]]
| party5            = [[MTGA]]
| party5            = [[Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (Ventrutx)|ZPT]]
| leader_seat5      = ''no seat''
| leader_seat5      = Senator (FL)
| last_election5    = ''new party''
| last_election5    = ''new party''
| seats5            =  
| seats5            =  
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| swing5            =  
| swing5            =  


| colour6            = MediumVioletRed
| colour6            = Firebrick
| leader6            = [[Eiric Börnatfiglheu]]
| leader6            = [[Mximo Carbonel]]
| party6            = [[NPW]]
| party6            = [[MTGA]]
| leader_seat6      = ''no seat''
| leader_seat6      = ''no seat''
| last_election6    = ''new party''
| last_election6    = ''new party''
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| percentage6        =  
| swing6            =  
| swing6            =  
| colour7            = Orange
| leader7            = [[Eovart Grischun]]
| party7            = [[PNP]]
| leader_seat7      = ''no seat''
| last_election7    = ''new party''
| seats7            =
| seats_change7      =
| popular_vote7      =
| percentage7        =
| swing7            =


| img_name        = 53cosa.png
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==Registered parties==
==Registered parties==
Six national political parties - the most since the [[March 2016 General Election|elections to the 49th Cosa]] - either registered for the election, have announced they would do so, or are otherwise expected to:
Seven national political parties - the joint record along with the [[April 2013 General Election|elections to the 45th Cosa]] and the [[September 2014 General Election|elections to the 47th Cosa]] - either registered for the election, have announced they would do so, or are otherwise expected to (due to paying the registration fee or being an estabilished party):
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|-
|-
! colspan=2|Party !! Beliefs
! colspan=2|Party !! Leader/Candidate !! Beliefs
|-
| bgcolor="#FFCC00" |   || [[AMP|Awakening and Magnifying Passion (AMP)]] || [[Ian Plätschisch]] || Pragmatism, monarchism, reformism
|-
|-
| bgcolor="#FFCC00" |   || [[AMP|Awakening and Magnifying Passion (AMP)]] || Pragmatism, monarchism, reformism
| bgcolor="#FF3300" |   || [[Free Democrats of Talossa (FreeDem)]] || [[Miestrâ Schivâ]] || Progressivism, liberalism, republicanism
|-
|-
| bgcolor="#FF3300" |   || [[Free Democrats of Talossa (FreeDem)]] || Progressivism, liberalism, republicanism
| bgcolor="CC3333" |   || [[MTGA|Make Talossa Great Again (MTGA)]] || [[Mximo Carbonel]] || Populism, republicanism
|-
|-
| bgcolor="CC3333" |   || [[MTGA|Make Talossa Great Again (MTGA)]] || Populism, republicanism
| bgcolor="9900CC" |   || [[NPW|New Peculiar Way (NPW)]] || [[Eiric Börnatfiglheu]] || Peculiarism, republicanism
|-
|-
| bgcolor="9900CC" |   || [[NPW|New Peculiar Way (NPW)]] || Peculiarism, republicanism
| bgcolor="orange" |   || [[PNP|Peculiarist National Party (PNP)]] || [[Eovart Grischun]] || Peculiarism, civic nationalism
|-
|-
| bgcolor="#009900" |   || [[RUMP|Recruits for Upholding the Monarchy and its Principles (RUMP)]] || Monarchism, conservativism, derivativism
| bgcolor="#009900" |   || [[RUMP|Recruits for Upholding the Monarchy and its Principles (RUMP)]] || ? || Monarchism, conservativism, derivativism
|-
|-
| bgcolor="#46C6C6" |   || [[Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (Ventrutx)|Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (ZPT)]] || Monarchism, conservativism, traditionalism
| bgcolor="#46C6C6" |   || [[Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (Ventrutx)|Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (ZPT)]] || [[Ieremiac'h Ventrutx]] || Monarchism, conservativism, traditionalism
|}
|}


Three parties are slated to return after a hiatus: the [[Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (Ventrutx)|ZPT]], a party that was most known in its 1998-2005 iteration, but will be revived for a second time by [[Ieremiac'h Ventrutx]]; [[MTGA]], whose only member [[Mximo Carbonel]] had sat out the 53rd Cosa; and the New Peculiar Way, which held seats in 2013 but has largely been dormant since, only sporadically holding seats in [[Benito]].
Three parties are slated to return after a hiatus: the [[Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (Ventrutx)|ZPT]], a party that was most known in its 1998-2005 iteration, but will be revived for a second time by [[Ieremiac'h Ventrutx]]; [[MTGA]], whose only member [[Mximo Carbonel]] had sat out the 53rd Cosa; and the New Peculiar Way, which held seats in 2013 but has largely been dormant since, only sporadically holding seats in [[Benito]]. One completely new party is expected to take part in the elections: the [[PNP]], led by Eðo Grischun. Grischun served as the leader of the RUMP, most recently on an interim basis, but resigned from the party in the summer.


Moderate Radicals Arise will not run again; this will likely spell the end of [[Erschéveþ da Schir]]'s stay in the Cosa, which had lasted since the 48th Cosa, the second longest tenured MC behind the RUMP's [[Eovart Xhorxh]].
Moderate Radicals Arise will not run again; this will likely spell the end of [[Erschéveþ da Schir]]'s stay in the Cosa, which had lasted since the 48th Cosa, the second longest tenured MC behind the RUMP's [[Eovart Xhorxh]].
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* 3 November: [http://talossa.proboards.com/thread/13703/new-peculiar-manifesto-54th-cosa NPW presented its Manifesto]
* 3 November: [http://talossa.proboards.com/thread/13703/new-peculiar-manifesto-54th-cosa NPW presented its Manifesto]
* 4 November: it is announced that the Free Democrats have paid the registration fee
* 4 November: it is announced that the Free Democrats have paid the registration fee
* 4 November: the Free Democrats publish their Manifesto in [[La S'chinteia]]
* 4 November: the Free Democrats published their Manifesto in [[La S'chinteia]]
* 5 November: the Free Democrats presented their Cosa and Senate candidates [https://freedemstalossa.wordpress.com/2019/11/05/freedems2020/ on their own blog]
* 8 November: it is announced that the new Peculiarist National Party has paid the registration fee. Party leader Eðo Grischun also [http://talossa.proboards.com/post/167760/thread announced a preview of their platform].


==Senatorial races==
==Senatorial races==
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The last senator to complete a term was Glüc da Dhi, who served two whole terms and one extra Cosa between 2011 and 2015.
The last senator to complete a term was Glüc da Dhi, who served two whole terms and one extra Cosa between 2011 and 2015.


No candidate has declared their intention to run. The seat is one of two expected to be competitive, should multiple candidates from different parties be on the ballot.
The seat is one of two expected to be competitive, should multiple candidates from different parties be on the ballot. The only candidate so far is [[Interior Minister]] [[Alexandreu Regeu]] of the Free Democrats, who would however be ineligible to vote before March 29th 2020 due to being a citizen for less than a year.
 
{| class="wikitable"
|-
! colspan = 3 | {{cez}} Senate Special Election
|-
| bgcolor="#ff3300" style="width=10px;" | || [[Alexandreu Regeu]] || -
|-
| bgcolor="#CCCCCC" colspan=3 | ''Open seat''
|}


===Florencia===
===Florencia===
[[Ieremiac'h Ventrutx]], the incumbent, was elected in a special election to complete the remainder of [[Ma la Mha]]'s term. He has yet to announce his intention to run; in his special election campaign, he was elected as a write-in candidate (no other name actually appeared on the ballot, in a first for Talossa since Reunision). Ventrutx is also running with his own party, the [[Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (Ventrutx)|ZPT]], which he brought back after a hiatus of ten years.
[[Ieremiac'h Ventrutx]], the incumbent, was elected in a special election to complete the remainder of [[Ma la Mha]]'s term. He has yet to announce his intention to run; in his special election campaign, he was elected as a write-in candidate (no other name actually appeared on the ballot, in a first for Talossa since Reunision). Ventrutx is also running with his own party, the [[Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (Ventrutx)|ZPT]], which he brought back after a hiatus of ten years.


[[AMP]] has announced that [[Breneir Itravilatx]], a former Foreign Minister and Senator for [[Maritiimi-Maxhestic]] between 2010 and 2011, would contest the seat.
[[AMP]] has announced that [[Breneir Itravilatx]], a former Foreign Minister and Senator for [[Maritiimi-Maxhestic]] between 2010 and 2011, would contest the seat. The Free Democrats will instead support [[Spencer Kerfoot]] for the seat, while also endorsing Itravilatx as a second IRV preference. Kerfoot notably led the Free Democrats's efforts in the [[Nimlet]] concerning the Fiova-Florencia merger in the summer of 2019.
 
{| class="wikitable"
|-
! colspan = 3 | Florencia Senate Election
|-
| bgcolor="#ffcc00" style="width=10px;" | || [[Breneir Itravilatx]] || -
|-
| bgcolor="#ff3300" style="width=10px;" | || [[Spencer Kerfoot]] || -
|-
| bgcolor=turquoise colspan=3 | <font color="white">Incumbent: I. Ventrutx ''(undeclared)''</font>
|}


===Fiova===
===Fiova===
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No challenger has declared their intention to run. The last contested election in {{fio}} was in December 2013, when the [[NPW]]'s [[Dieter Vercáriâ]] took on the [[ZRT]]'s [[Miestrâ Schivâ]].
No challenger has declared their intention to run. The last contested election in {{fio}} was in December 2013, when the [[NPW]]'s [[Dieter Vercáriâ]] took on the [[ZRT]]'s [[Miestrâ Schivâ]].
{| class="wikitable"
|-
! colspan = 3 | {{fio}} Senate Election
|-
| bgcolor="#ff3300" style="width=10px;" | || [[Gödafrïeu Válcadác'h]] || -
|-
| bgcolor="#ff3300" colspan=3 | <font color="white">Incumbent: G. Válcadác'h ''(running)''</font>
|}


===Maricopa===
===Maricopa===
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The seat is one of two expected to be competitive, should multiple candidates from different parties be on the ballot. Maricopa was the first province where IRV was applied to a Senate race.
The seat is one of two expected to be competitive, should multiple candidates from different parties be on the ballot. Maricopa was the first province where IRV was applied to a Senate race.


Neither Siervicül nor any challenger has declared their intention to run; however, AMP announced that current Foreign Minister [[Txoteu Davinescu]], who was expected to contest the seat for them, had left the party. It is currently unclear if Davinescu still plans to run for the seat; he was the [[MRPT]]'s candidate in 2017, where he received the second-most first votes (29%), but lost out in the final IRV round.
The Free Democrats have announced that Foreign Minister [[Txoteu Davinescu]], formerly of [[AMP]], will contest the seat for a second time; he was the [[MRPT]]'s candidate in 2017, where he received the second-most first votes (29%), but lost out in the final IRV round to [[Beneditsch Ardpresteir]].
 
{| class="wikitable"
|-
! colspan = 3 | Maricopa Senate Election
|-
| bgcolor="#ff3300" style="width=10px;" | || [[Txoteu Davinescu]] || -
|-
| bgcolor=009900 colspan=3 | <font color="white">Incumbent: C. Siervicül ''(undeclared)''</font>
|}


{{navelect}}
{{navelect}}

Revision as of 07:40, 8 November 2019

December 2019 General Election
Cosa.png
April 2019 General Election 15 Nov 2019 - 1 Dec 2019

All 200 seats in the Cosa
101 seats needed for a majority
Eligible voters 162
Turnout TBD
FreeDemsLogo2018.jpeg RUMPlogo.png Short logo.png
Leader Miestrâ A. Schivâ ? Ian Plätschisch
Party FreeDem RUMP AMP
Leader since 29 Jan 2019 ? 22 Feb 2019
Leader's seat MC (FreeDem) ? Senator (MM)
Last election 89 48 40
Leader Eiric Börnatfiglheu Ieremiac'h Ventrutx Mximo Carbonel
Party NPW ZPT MTGA
Leader's seat no seat Senator (FL) no seat
Last election new party new party new party
Leader Eovart Grischun
Party PNP
Leader's seat no seat
Last election new party

53cosa.png
Outgoing Cosa

Outgoing Seneschal
Miestrâ Schivâ
FreeDems

The upcoming General Election will be held from November 15th to December 1st 2019/XL. All of the Cosa will be up for reelection, plus regularly scheduled Senate elections in Florencia, Maricopa and Fiova, and a special election in Cézembre.

The lone amendment that is expected to be voted on is the Still Into This Amendment, which implements the so-called 2017 Organic Law proposal.

Registered parties

Seven national political parties - the joint record along with the elections to the 45th Cosa and the elections to the 47th Cosa - either registered for the election, have announced they would do so, or are otherwise expected to (due to paying the registration fee or being an estabilished party):

Party Leader/Candidate Beliefs
  Awakening and Magnifying Passion (AMP) Ian Plätschisch Pragmatism, monarchism, reformism
  Free Democrats of Talossa (FreeDem) Miestrâ Schivâ Progressivism, liberalism, republicanism
  Make Talossa Great Again (MTGA) Mximo Carbonel Populism, republicanism
  New Peculiar Way (NPW) Eiric Börnatfiglheu Peculiarism, republicanism
  Peculiarist National Party (PNP) Eovart Grischun Peculiarism, civic nationalism
  Recruits for Upholding the Monarchy and its Principles (RUMP) ? Monarchism, conservativism, derivativism
  Zefençadéirs del Päts Talossan (ZPT) Ieremiac'h Ventrutx Monarchism, conservativism, traditionalism

Three parties are slated to return after a hiatus: the ZPT, a party that was most known in its 1998-2005 iteration, but will be revived for a second time by Ieremiac'h Ventrutx; MTGA, whose only member Mximo Carbonel had sat out the 53rd Cosa; and the New Peculiar Way, which held seats in 2013 but has largely been dormant since, only sporadically holding seats in Benito. One completely new party is expected to take part in the elections: the PNP, led by Eðo Grischun. Grischun served as the leader of the RUMP, most recently on an interim basis, but resigned from the party in the summer.

Moderate Radicals Arise will not run again; this will likely spell the end of Erschéveþ da Schir's stay in the Cosa, which had lasted since the 48th Cosa, the second longest tenured MC behind the RUMP's Eovart Xhorxh.

The Free Democrats need a swing of 12 seats to win a majority; no party has managed to do so since 2013. RUMP and AMP need to gain 53 and 61 seats respectively; no such swing has ever been achieved under EM200, the biggest positive swing being the RUMP's +43 in the 36th Cosa.

Timeline

Senatorial races

Half of the Senate will be up for reelection: three regularly scheduled races for full terms in Florencia, Fiovă and Maricopa, and a special election in Cézembre, where freshman Senator Thor Deyaert lost his seat by failing to vote.

Had the merger between Fiovâ and Florencia been successful, Iarneria (the name of the merged province) would have been expected to elect its first Senator, while the election for the seat of Maritiimi-Maxhestic would have also been up for election, to respect the Organic provision that three seats should be up for a full term at each General Election.

Cézembre (special)

Cézembre will elect a senator for the sixth time in the last seven general elections. Of the five Senators that held the seat since mid-2015, only Ian Anglatzara served more than six Clarks, and none actually served for a whole term:

  • Txosuè Rôibeardescù, elected in 2015 upon Glüc da Dhi's retirement, lost his seat in the coattails of a corruption scandal;
  • Anglatzara only served the two-Cosa remainder of his term;
  • the following two-Cosa term was split between a returned da Dhi, who resigned his seat to accept an appointment as Secretary of State, and Alexandreu Soleiglhfred, who declined to seek reelection in the wake of the collapse of the MRPT;
  • and Thor Deyaert lost his seat by failing to vote.

The last senator to complete a term was Glüc da Dhi, who served two whole terms and one extra Cosa between 2011 and 2015.

The seat is one of two expected to be competitive, should multiple candidates from different parties be on the ballot. The only candidate so far is Interior Minister Alexandreu Regeu of the Free Democrats, who would however be ineligible to vote before March 29th 2020 due to being a citizen for less than a year.

Cézembre Senate Special Election
Alexandreu Regeu -
Open seat

Florencia

Ieremiac'h Ventrutx, the incumbent, was elected in a special election to complete the remainder of Ma la Mha's term. He has yet to announce his intention to run; in his special election campaign, he was elected as a write-in candidate (no other name actually appeared on the ballot, in a first for Talossa since Reunision). Ventrutx is also running with his own party, the ZPT, which he brought back after a hiatus of ten years.

AMP has announced that Breneir Itravilatx, a former Foreign Minister and Senator for Maritiimi-Maxhestic between 2010 and 2011, would contest the seat. The Free Democrats will instead support Spencer Kerfoot for the seat, while also endorsing Itravilatx as a second IRV preference. Kerfoot notably led the Free Democrats's efforts in the Nimlet concerning the Fiova-Florencia merger in the summer of 2019.

Florencia Senate Election
Breneir Itravilatx -
Spencer Kerfoot -
Incumbent: I. Ventrutx (undeclared)

Fiova

The incumbent is Gödafrïeu Válcadác'h, currently the third longest tenured Senator, who had served as Lord President (Mençei) of the Senate in 2018 and is well known as the long-time Royal Archivist of Talossa. He has announced his intention to run for reelection.

No challenger has declared their intention to run. The last contested election in Fiovă was in December 2013, when the NPW's Dieter Vercáriâ took on the ZRT's Miestrâ Schivâ.

Fiovă Senate Election
Gödafrïeu Válcadác'h -
Incumbent: G. Válcadác'h (running)

Maricopa

The incumbent is Sir Cresti Siervicül, the lone senator to be affiliated with the RUMP. Siervicül has completed his first term in the Senate, which he joined in late 2017, initially as an appointee and then winning a special election to complete the rest of the term.

The seat is one of two expected to be competitive, should multiple candidates from different parties be on the ballot. Maricopa was the first province where IRV was applied to a Senate race.

The Free Democrats have announced that Foreign Minister Txoteu Davinescu, formerly of AMP, will contest the seat for a second time; he was the MRPT's candidate in 2017, where he received the second-most first votes (29%), but lost out in the final IRV round to Beneditsch Ardpresteir.

Maricopa Senate Election
Txoteu Davinescu -
Incumbent: C. Siervicül (undeclared)